Tooting my own horn.
I see that Michael Barone has gone "out on a limb" and declared the race for Mitt Romney. I just have to laugh at such a "courageous" prediction. Come on, Michael, "going out on a limb" three whole days before the election?
Now that all of the polls have begun to lean towards Romney and the "battle ground states" include such solidly blue states as Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin and now that Romney has a solid lock on Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia (so much so that most polling organizations have pulled up stakes in those states), I'm not certain that "going out on a limb" is an apt description. It's more like bowing to the inevitable.
I first made a numerical prediction back on August 15th, the day after Artur Davis (Obama's 2008 Presidential Campaign Co-Chairman) declared his support for Romney. My exact words were:
"I'm telling you folks, it ain't even going to be close. Romney by 10%."Now admittedly, I'm not a professional pundit and my income doesn't depend on my ability to be correct . . . and I also admit that my prediction included a fair amount of hubris and in your face to liberals, but it was also based on the abysmal record of the Obama Administration in handling the economy, the disparity in voter enthusiasm between Republicans and Democrats, and the fact that many of Obama's original supporters had been caught up in "Obamamania."
Apparently for many Americans, the cachet of voting for the first African American president was stronger than their ability see that the man was horribly unqualified to take on the onerous responsibilities and duties of the American presidency.
It was just another example of the masses allowing their emotions to get the better of their common sense. Had Obama been a white man with the exact same educational and professional background, HE WOULD HAVE BEEN LAUGHED OFF THE STAGE.
Fast-forward four years, and the bloom is off the rose. Even among his most ardent supporters, there was a vague feeling of unease, a realization that the man with feet of clay was never a match for the exalted expectations and glowing empty rhetoric that accompanied him.
Sometime reality is a bitter pill to swallow, but to their credit it appears that a good many folks who were caught up in the Obama fantasy last election have snapped back to reality. Obama's "Hope and Change" campaign of 2008 has declined into a campaign of pettiness and "revenge" voting in 2012.
One might say that Obama's "Hope and Change" has been revealed to be nothing more than False Hope and Failed Change. Rather than gaining momentum, the economy has been in steady decline for the last three years, with economic growth lower this year than last and last year's growth lower than the year before.
We have fewer people in the workforce than at anytime in the past 30 years, higher unemployment than when Obama took office, and a grotesque national debt that is slowly killing our nation's ability to do the things we need to do.
Since that article in August, I have occasionally been cowed by the constant bombardment of negativity by the MSN (when the "47% story" first broke I backed off my prediction and suggested a 5% margin), but I have never wavered from my belief that Romney would win.
After the first debate, I again reaffirmed my 10% prediction and shortly thereafter I quantified my (slightly narrower) belief even further by predicting the Romney/Ryan 54, Obama/Biden 46 margin that still appears in most of my posts.
Who knows, with all these Johnny-come-lately pundits jumping on the bandwagon, maybe my original estimate was too conservative . . . Romney/Ryan by 20%? LOL!!! Nah, that would be absurd, but a 11 or 12% margin could be in the offing.
I'm not going there, I'm happy with my 54-46 prediction. If I'm wrong, well it won't be the first time, but I truly believe that we are in for a historic rejection of this sitting Clown Prince Narcissist in Chief.
Romney/Ryan 54% Obama/Biden 46% still sounds about right . . . some folks will vote Democrat solely because they are generational Democrats, some will vote for Obama because they just cannot bring themselves to admit they were wrong in 2008 (it's hard to admit you've been conned), some--particularly in the black communities--will vote for Obama just because he's black, and about 25-30% of the American electorate are simple-minded (liberals) and will vote for Obama because they still believe that the same exact socialist principles that have failed everywhere they have been implemented will work (there's no hope for people that deep in denial).
The rest of us, the sane, sober, freedom-loving, free marketers (who still cling to our guns and our Bibles) will vote for Romney.
Long Live Our American Republic!!!!